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Author Topic: May forecast  (Read 3922 times)

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Offline anonymous

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May forecast
« on: May 03, 2009, 11:50 »
My Lord, do you have any idea of the forecast temperatures for the last 2 weeks in May?

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Offline Durham Forum

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2009, 22:48 »
Warmer than the first two hopefully.  :wink:

Mean temp for May in this neck of the woods is 10 degC. Maxima in the second half of May should be in the region of 15-20 degC, with minima between 5 and 10 degC. Highest temp in the last 10 years here in May was 26.1 degC in 2003.

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Offline anonymous

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2009, 09:02 »
Thanks, but still not sure what to put in the suitcase.

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Offline Victoria Sponge

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2009, 15:22 »
Warmer than the first two hopefully.  :wink:

Mean temp for May in this neck of the woods is 10 degC. Maxima in the second half of May should be in the region of 15-20 degC, with minima between 5 and 10 degC. Highest temp in the last 10 years here in May was 26.1 degC in 2003.

It's bloody freezing - this is doing no good at all for saving money on my heating bills

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Happymama

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2009, 21:21 »
Did you not all see the Cloudspotting programme on last night?

Look up!

The cloud direction has switched from Northerly back to our standard Westerly so it's a bit warmer.

The cloud is one that lets steady rain down but it's broken, and above it is cirrus which shows that usually wet weather is on the way (due to the high-level winds it evidences). 

So fair to middling now, and middling to worse in a few days.

All right for you office dwellers. I have to cycle around in it with six dayglo kids following me like a flippin mother duck and her ducklings!






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Offline Durham Forum

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2009, 21:31 »
Did you not all see the Cloudspotting programme on last night?

Look up!

The cloud direction has switched from Northerly back to our standard Westerly so it's a bit warmer.

The cloud is one that lets steady rain down but it's broken, and above it is cirrus which shows that usually wet weather is on the way (due to the high-level winds it evidences). 

So fair to middling now, and middling to worse in a few days.


That may be good for the next few days, but not for predicting the last two weeks of May, which is what our friend is asking about.

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Happymama

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2009, 20:23 »
That may be good for the next few days, but not for predicting the last two weeks of May, which is what our friend is asking about.

Well, even the weather people can't get more than 3 days ahead with any kind of accuracy, they say! 

It's a warm El Nino year so should be a heap better than the cold La Nina time we've had for the last few years.  All that warm air does make a difference to us.  Wasn't 02/03 an El Nino time? 




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Offline Durham Forum

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #7 on: May 05, 2009, 21:23 »
Well, even the weather people can't get more than 3 days ahead with any kind of accuracy, they say! 

It's a warm El Nino year so should be a heap better than the cold La Nina time we've had for the last few years.  All that warm air does make a difference to us.  Wasn't 02/03 an El Nino time? 



El Nino/La Nina really only have a tenuous, indirect link to UK weather. If you try to correlate it, you get a coefficient that is maybe/maybe not. OK, it makes a hell of a difference off the coast of Peru and Australia, but you couldn't blame our weather on it.

The atmosphere is chaotic, therefore it is impossible to predict our weather more than 4-5 days ahead with any accuracy at the moment. They have marginally more success with longer scale, climatic trends.

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Offline anonymous

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #8 on: May 11, 2009, 10:57 »
This is the best I can get from the BBC for the 18th-31st May:-

The pressure pattern for this period is indeterminate, there is no favoured outcome although there is some signal for high pressure to move in from the south at times.
At the moment, rainfall, sunshine amounts and temperatures look normal although it could get quite warm in the north.

Still confused.

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Offline Durham Forum

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #9 on: May 11, 2009, 11:04 »
"Changeable" is about the best I can offer. I think that's what they're saying.

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #10 on: May 11, 2009, 13:58 »
Thanks, but still not sure what to put in the suitcase.



Pack everything  :roll:

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Offline alexander

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Re: May forecast
« Reply #11 on: May 11, 2009, 16:21 »
Pack nothing, let's all be naked :lol:

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You're born alone, you die alone.  Anything in between is make believe.

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